cryptotradingbook

The trading plan

Foundations → Intermediate · ~10 min read

At a glance

  • A trading plan is a written rule set: what you trade, when you enter, when you exit, how big.
  • It exists to be read when the market screams - decisions are made before the storm.
  • Every rule must be checkable by a third person: "I felt it" is not a rule.
  • Most plans fail on adherence, not design - the journal measures that.
  • Write it once, review it monthly, change it deliberately - never mid-trade.

1. What a plan contains

Six decisions, written down: market (which pairs), timeframe (how long positions live), setup (what pattern/condition you wait for), risk per trade (a number), exit rules (both directions), and a no-trade rule (when you sit out). Anything vaguer than that is a hope, not a plan.

2. The setup must be objective

"Buy when it looks strong" is not a setup. "Buy the first daily close above the 50-day MA with volume 20% above average, stop 3% below" is - a third person could check it. Objectivity is what makes the backtest and the journal meaningful.

3. Exits decide profitability

Both exits are planned before entry: the stop (risk side) and the target or trailing rule (reward side). A plan with only entries is half a plan - the asymmetry of drawdowns punishes missing exits brutally.

Remember: The plan's job is not to predict. It is to make your behaviour predictable when your emotions are not.

4. Writing it: a one-page discipline

One page, no essays. After every trade, the journal answers one question: did the trade follow the plan? Rule-following - not profit - is what the journal grades. A profitable rule-breaker is a future statistic.

5. When this fails

A plan fails when the market regime it assumed ends (high-volatility trend → chop), when rules stop being checkable, or when adherence is measured only in P&L. Review monthly; adapt deliberately.

Risk: Changing the plan mid-trade to "make the trade work" converts a small planned loss into an unplanned large one. The plan protects you from you - mid-trade edits break that.

Knowledge check

  1. Name the six elements of a one-page trading plan. (Market, timeframe, setup, risk per trade, exits, no-trade rule.)
  2. What makes a setup objective? (A third person could check it was met.)
  3. What does the journal grade - profit or adherence? (Adherence; profit follows process over samples.)
  4. When are plan changes allowed? (Between trades, deliberately, with a review - never mid-trade.)
  5. Why does a plan not predict prices? (It structures behaviour and risk; the market does the rest.)